Find quantiles of the posterior distribution
quantBisect
finds the desired quantile of the posterior distribution
using the bisection method. Used to create credibility limits.
quantBisect( percent, theta_hat, N, E, qn, digits = 2, limits = c(-1e+05, 1e+05), max_iter = 2000 )
percent |
A numeric scalar between 1 and 99 for the desired percentile (e.g., 5 for 5th percentile). |
theta_hat |
A numeric vector of hyperparameter estimates (likely from
|
N |
A whole number vector of actual counts from
|
E |
A numeric vector of expected counts from |
qn |
A numeric vector of posterior probabilities that λ came
from the first component of the mixture, given N = n (i.e., the
mixture fraction). See function |
digits |
A scalar whole number that determines the number of decimal places used when rounding the results. |
limits |
A whole number vector of length 2 for the upper and lower bounds of the search space. |
max_iter |
A whole number scalar for the maximum number of iterations. Used to prevent infinite loops. |
The hyperparameter estimates (theta_hat
) are:
α_1, β_1: Parameter estimates of the first component of the prior distribution
α_2, β_2: Parameter estimates of the second component
P: Mixture fraction estimate of the prior distribution
Although this function can find any quantile of the posterior distribution, it will often be used to calculate the 5th and 95th percentiles to create a 90% credibility interval.
The quantile is calculated by solving for x in the general equation F(x) = cutoff, or equivalently, F(x) - cutoff = 0, where F(x) is the cumulative distribution function of the posterior distribution and cutoff is the appropriate cutoff level (e.g., 0.05 for the 5th percentile).
A numeric vector of quantile estimates.
The digits
argument determines the tolerance for the bisection
algorithm. The more decimal places you want returned, the longer the run
time.
autoHyper
, exploreHypers
,
negLLsquash
, negLL
,
negLLzero
, and negLLzeroSquash
for
hyperparameter estimation.
processRaw
for finding counts.
Qn
for finding mixture fractions.
theta_init <- data.frame( alpha1 = c(0.2, 0.1), beta1 = c(0.1, 0.1), alpha2 = c(2, 10), beta2 = c(4, 10), p = c(1/3, 0.2) ) data(caers) proc <- processRaw(caers) squashed <- squashData(proc, bin_size = 100, keep_pts = 100) squashed <- squashData(squashed, count = 2, bin_size = 10, keep_pts = 20) suppressWarnings( theta_hat <- autoHyper(data = squashed, theta_init = theta_init)$estimates ) qn <- Qn(theta_hat, N = proc$N, E = proc$E) proc$QUANT_05 <- quantBisect(percent = 5, theta = theta_hat, N = proc$N, E = proc$E, qn = qn) proc$QUANT_95 <- quantBisect(percent = 95, theta = theta_hat, N = proc$N, E = proc$E, qn = qn) head(proc)
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