plot_trends
Plot the observed and synthetic trends for the treated units.
plot_trends(data, time_window = NULL)
data |
nested data of type |
time_window |
time window of the trend plot. |
Synthetic control is a visual-based method, like Regression Discontinuity, so inspection of the pre-intervention period fits is key assessing the sythetic control's fit. A poor fit in the pre-period reduces confidence in the post-period trend capturing the counterfactual.
See ?generate_control()
for information on how to generate a synthetic
control unit.
ggplot
object of the observed and synthetic trends.
# Smoking example data data(smoking) smoking_out <- smoking %>% # initial the synthetic control object synthetic_control(outcome = cigsale, unit = state, time = year, i_unit = "California", i_time = 1988, generate_placebos=TRUE) %>% # Generate the aggregate predictors used to generate the weights generate_predictor(time_window=1980:1988, lnincome = mean(lnincome, na.rm = TRUE), retprice = mean(retprice, na.rm = TRUE), age15to24 = mean(age15to24, na.rm = TRUE)) %>% generate_predictor(time_window=1984:1988, beer = mean(beer, na.rm = TRUE)) %>% generate_predictor(time_window=1975, cigsale_1975 = cigsale) %>% generate_predictor(time_window=1980, cigsale_1980 = cigsale) %>% generate_predictor(time_window=1988, cigsale_1988 = cigsale) %>% # Generate the fitted weights for the synthetic control generate_weights(optimization_window =1970:1988, Margin.ipop=.02,Sigf.ipop=7,Bound.ipop=6) %>% # Generate the synthetic control generate_control() # Plot the observed and synthetic trend smoking_out %>% plot_trends(time_window = 1970:2000)
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